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Emotional Strategies for Staying Rational During Swings

Published Feb 24, 25
9 min read

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You know that feeling of your stomach dropping when your investments drop? Have you ever felt a rush of excitement or a stomach drop when your investments soar? You're not alone. Those powerful feelings can ruin even the best of investment plans.

Let's discuss why your brain behaves in this manner and, more importantly, what you can do to maintain your calmness when the markets become crazy. - Learn more about Affirm Wealth Advisors

Why your brain sabotage your investments

Your relationship with money isn't just about numbers--it's deeply personal, shaped by your entire life experience.

Your financial decisions are driven by hidden forces

You think you can make rational decisions about your money? Think again. Your subconscious mind is responsible for most of your financial decisions.

  • The brain feels losses more intensely (losing $1000 feels worse than winning $1000 feels good).
  • Market crashes are now more real than ever before thanks to the evolution of wiring
  • Fear and greed drive more investment decisions than logical analysis ever will

Your financial present is shaped by your past.

Remember what was said about money at home when you were a child? The early financial lessons you learned still affect how you react today to market changes.

  • Early money experiences form neural pathways that last decades
  • It is difficult to overcome the biases that are formed by experiencing market crashes.
  • Your personal financial background has more impact on your risk-tolerance than any finance course

Why knowing better does not mean doing better

The frustrating truth is that knowing what you should do with your money does not guarantee that you will actually do it. This explains why even financial experts make irrational choices when emotions run high:

  • Market panic can override logical thinking in seconds
  • Investors are more likely to lose money if they do not have the correct knowledge.
  • It is rare that information alone will change deep-seated behaviors.

Behavioral Finance: The Science Behind Market Madness

In traditional economics, we were assumed to be rational investors. Behavioral finance reveals emotions as the primary driver of market movement.

From Rational Theory to Emotional reality

The field was born when researchers began noticing patterns of irrational and unsustainable financial behavior.

  • Classical economics can't explain why the markets are always overreacting
  • In the 1970s, Kahneman Tversky and other psychologists revolutionized our understanding.
  • The 2008 financial crisis has pushed behavioral finance to the mainstream

Why Markets Don't Always React Rationally

Contrary to what the textbooks may say, markets do not operate perfectly efficiently. Human psychology creates persistent inefficiencies:

  • Assets are often mispriced due to emotional reactions
  • Investor herding can create boom-bust cycles that are beyond fundamental value
  • Market crashes and bubbles are due to psychological factors

Investing in the Future: Key Principles for Every Investor

When emotions cloud your judgement, you can recognize them by understanding these concepts.

  • Loss aversion: Losses hurt about twice as much as equivalent gains feel good
  • Recency bias - Giving too much importance to the most recent event
  • Anchoring effect: Tying decisions to arbitrary reference points rather than fundamentals

The Emotional Investing Traps We All Fall Into

Your brain has built in shortcuts that may have helped our ancestors, but could also be destroying your investment returns. We'll identify these biases to help you overcome them.

Make Money-Worrying Mistakes based on Fear

Fear is the emotion that drives more expensive investing mistakes than any other emotion.

  • Loss aversion causes you to sell winners too soon and hold losers for too long.
  • The time of greatest opportunity is precisely the time that risk aversion increases.
  • Inflation slowly erodes cash positions when you catastrophize.

When Greed takes the Wheel

Optimism bias leads you to excessively risk in bull markets.

  • Overconfidence can lead you to overestimate and underestimate your abilities, as well as risks.
  • Fear of missing out (FOMO) is what drives you to pursue performance in hot sectors
  • Selective memory helps you forget past mistakes during market euphoria

Cognitive Blind Spots Every Investor Has

Your brain will seek out information that confirms your existing beliefs.

  • Confirmation Bias leads you to ignore warnings signs in investments that are dear to you
  • Mental accounting results in inconsistent risk assessments across different accounts
  • You're bound to lose strategies due to the "sunk cost" fallacy because you've already invested so much.

The Four Market Cycles & Their Emotional Rollercoaster

Markets move in psychological cycles as predictable as their price patterns. Recognizing which emotional stage the market is in gives you tremendous advantage.

Bull Market Psychology and the Dangerous Path to Euphoria

Bull markets tend to follow an emotional progression that is predictable:

  • Early optimism provides solid opportunities at fair valuations
  • Middle appreciation increases comfort but builds insecurity
  • Analysing the situation rationally is not enough to avoid danger.

Bear Market Psychology: From Denial to Opportunity

Bear markets cause emotional reactions that are predictable.

  • When markets start to decline, investors are still unable to sell their investments.
  • Fear drives widespread selling of goods as losses escalate
  • Even in the face of extreme pessimism there are opportunities to be had by capitulating.

Psychological insights can help you identify turning points in the market.

The first market transitions occur in investor psychology and then in prices.

  • Excessive optimism can signal the top of the market before it actually peaks.
  • Market bottoms are usually preceded by widespread capitulation
  • Sentiment is often a leading indicator of price movement by several weeks or months

How to deal with your emotions in a market turmoil

It's possible to master the art of managing your emotional reactions to market swings. Stay rational by using these techniques when the markets are turbulent.

Mindfulness Practices That Improve Investment Decisions

When you become aware of your emotions, it allows for rational decision-making.

  • Regular meditation improves emotional regulation during market stress
  • Body scanning can help identify anxiety and its impact on your decisions
  • Reaction intensity is reduced by emotional labeling ("I am feeling afraid right now")

Why Investment Journaling Can Transform Your Results

This simple action improves the decision quality dramatically.

  • Your thoughts will be recorded objectively in your investment journals
  • Tracing emotions along with decisions reveals harmful patterns
  • Regular reflection helps you become aware of your financial triggers

Psychological Distance - The Power of Distance

When you view market volatility objectively, it reduces your emotional reaction:

  • Imagine you're giving advice to another person instead of your own self
  • When making decisions, use third-person language ("What should Jane be doing?").
  • Prioritize long-term results over short-term feelings by visualizing your future self

How to build an investment strategy that fits your psychology

Your psychological tendencies are important to your investment strategy. Aligning the approach to your emotional realities can improve long-term results.

Rules-Based Investing: Your Emotional Circuit Breaker

Clear investment guidelines established in advance help prevent emotional override.

  • Pre-commitment strategies prevent impulsive decisions during volatility
  • Rebalancing rules forces contrarian behavior if emotions resist
  • Systematic investment plans eliminate timing decisions entirely

Finding Your Sleep at-Night Factor

Even during market turmoil, you can still stay invested with the correct position sizing.

  • Positions small enough to prevent panic selling during downturns
  • Diversification reduces emotional attachment to individual investments
  • Risk management regulations prevent catastrophic failures that cause abandonment.

Matching the emotional capacity of a person to their timeframe

Different time horizons require different psychological approaches:

  • Longer time horizons reduce emotional reactivity to short-term volatility
  • Diverse strategies with different goals enhance overall stability
  • Preparing mentally for volatile reactions reduces the surprise of unexpected reactions

Social Psychology and Market Psychology

Prices are driven by the collective psychology of markets. Understanding these dynamics will help you resist unhealthful social pressures.

Why We Can’t Help But Follow the Herd

Humans evolved the ability to follow the masses for safety.

  • Social proof leads investors to popular investments near top of market
  • Herding helps explain why markets can overshoot to both directions
  • Herding behaviour can create opportunities for contrarians when it reaches extremes

How media narratives drive market movements

Financial media amplifies extreme emotions through compelling stories

  • Reporting on the market is always a follower, not a leader.
  • Media narratives simplifies complex dynamics into dramatic talelines
  • Headlines are more emotional during periods of market stress

If everyone agrees, you can still think independently

When you think independently, you gain a lot of advantages.

  • Cultivate a diverse information diet to reduce narrative capture
  • Find evidence that is not in agreement with your investment thesis to help you strengthen it
  • Contrarian thinking produces best results at market extremes

Creating a Healthier Relationship With Money

Your overall relationship with money will shape your investing experiences. Clarifying the money philosophy you follow can help improve your decision making during market fluctuations.

Redefining Wealth On Your Terms

Wealth means something different to everyone.

  • Financial freedom brings more satisfaction than pure accumulation
  • Understanding your "enoughness" can reduce harmful comparisons
  • Control over your time often matters more than absolute wealth

Aligning your money with Your Values

Investment decisions reflect your deeper values:

  • Value-aligned investments reduce cognitive dissonance during volatility
  • When markets are turbulent, personal purpose can provide stability
  • Ethics creates a deeper commitment to long-term strategy

Finding Your Balance Between Today and Tomorrow

Money helps to achieve both present and future goals.

  • The over-saving of money could lead to unnecessary present sacrifice
  • Saving too little can cause anxiety in the future, which reduces your enjoyment of today.
  • The individual balance point is determined by your circumstances and values

Create Your Emotional management system with Your action plan

The value of theory increases when it is put into practice. Let's develop a personalized strategy for emotional management.

Create your Investor Policy statement

Written investment policies provide a reference point that is stable during times of market turmoil.

  • Document your investing philosophy before market stress occurs
  • Include specific guidelines for actions during market extremes
  • Review annually but modify rarely to maintain consistency

Create Your Personal Circuit Breakers

Predetermined pause points prevent reactive decisions during high-emotion periods:

  • Prior to making major portfolio changes, there are waiting periods that must be observed.
  • Asset allocation guardrails that limit maximum adjustments
  • Having trusted advisors to provide perspective in emotional times

Turn every market cycle in to a learning experience

Systematic review turns market experiences into valuable learning:

  • After-action reviews reveal emotional patterns
  • Instead of focusing on outcomes, focus more on the process.
  • The small gains accumulate over a lifetime of investing

The Bottom Line: Your Psychology Is Your Edge

Your greatest investment advantage comes from managing your emotions. Even though you can't influence the markets, the way you react to them can be the most important skill.

What emotional investing pitfalls have you fallen for? How have you managed your emotional reactions to market volatility? Please share your experience with us!

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